Monday, 21 November 2011

BRUNCH EDITION: OBAMA PUTS CHINA ON DEFENSIVE AT RETREAT IN ASIA - Bachmann book out Mon. - Gingrich: Voters want 'somebody tough enough' -- Ray Sullivan: Perry 'likes a fight'

NFL COMMISSIONER ROGER GOODELL, CNBC ?Squawk Box?: ??Tebow Time? has clearly taken off. You saw that on the NFL Network last night. The game was unbelievable. He has got something special. People want to see more of it. We have those stories all across the league.?

SIREN -- Weekly Standard cover calls Gingrich THE COMEBACK KID,? and FRED BARNES SAYS HE COULD GET THE NOMINATION: ?Before you dismiss Newt Gingrich for having too much ?baggage? to win the Republican presidential nomination, ? consider this: ? Gingrich probably has at least as good a chance of getting a pass on his various transgressions in 2012 as Reagan, Schwarzenegger, and Clinton did. If 2012 were an ordinary election year, Gingrich would be doomed by his gaffes, three marriages, and fleeting alliances with Hillary Clinton on health care and Nancy Pelosi on global warming. But 2012 is different. Republicans are fixated on defeating President Obama. They?re obsessed. They think about little else. And if that means choosing a candidate with a lurid past and a penchant for self-destruction to beat Obama, Republicans are likely to swallow hard and nominate Gingrich.

?In their hearts, Republicans have always wanted a candidate who is bold and tough, and Gingrich is. ? There?s a reason Romney?s support has been stuck for months at roughly a quarter of the Republican electorate. His blandness explains it. ? To rally behind Gingrich, Republicans wouldn?t have to forgive his past sins, just treat them as irrelevant. They already talk about how sweet it would be to see Gingrich crush Obama in presidential debates. They don?t see Romney that way. But Romney has two important traits Gingrich lacks: carefulness and self-discipline. ? The Republican race, in Gingrich?s view, is a tortoise and hare contest. Who would have thought Gingrich, the flashy talker, would see himself as the tortoise. If so, he?s a cocky tortoise. In the end, we all know who wins.? http://bit.ly/sit3cm ?

NEW PERRY TV AD, ?Outsider?: ?Washington's broken, and needs a complete overhaul. I'm the outsider who's willin? to step on some toes. I want to force Congress to balance the budget and if they don't, I say we cut their pay in half, send ?em home. Replacing one Washington insider with another won't change a thing. If you want an outsider who'll overhaul Washington, then I'm your guy. I'm Rick Perry and I approve of this message.? YouTube http://bit.ly/urnNgF ?

BREAKING ? White House pool report by Jackie Calmes, ?ABOARD AIR FORCE ONE: Bali, Indonesia, to Guam. 1. POTUS pops into the press cabin 2. A senior administration official describes an East Asia Summit in which leaders of member-nations in effect have China on the defensive over maritime security in the South China Sea. President Obama was plainly feeling good at the end of his eight-day diplomatic spin around the Pacific Rim and paid a rare visit to the press cabin for an off-the-record chat with the pool. He surprised our group roughly an hour into what will be a 25-hour flight home to Andrews (including re-fuelings in Guam and Hawaii).?

THE BIG PICTURE ? ?ANALYSIS-Obama pivots towards Asia, eyeing U.S. exports and jobs, by Reuters? Caren Bohan and Laura MacInnis, in Nusa Dua, Indonesia: ?President Obama sought to charm Asia-Pacific leaders this week with Australian slang and memories from his childhood in Hawaii and Indonesia in his bid to boost U.S. ties with the fast-growing region. The top goal of the nine-day trip, which took Obama away from Washington just as U.S. budget battles were intensifying, was to cement a foreign policy ?pivot? towards Asia that could open the door to more American exports and jobs. ? Obama was clearly at ease in Asia.?

TOP STORY ? ?Obama scores diplomatic victory over China,? by AFP?s Beh Lih Yi in Nusa Dua, Indonesia: ?President Barack Obama on Saturday succeeded in hauling a maritime dispute into an Asian summit despite China's objections, in a diplomatic victory at the end of his Pacific tour. The ?robust? discussion on the South China Sea territorial row, at the East Asia Summit on the Indonesian resort island of Bali, took place after a week of increasingly sharp exchanges between the two world powers. Washington's new diplomatic campaign to assert itself as a Pacific power has alarmed China which sees the initiatives, including stationing US Marines in northern Australia, as intruding into its sphere of influence.?

BEHIND THE CURTAIN ? A senior administration official, briefing reporters aboard Air Force One en route Anderson Air Force Base, Guam: ?By far the most interesting element in the East Asia Summit was the leaders retreat, [which included Chinese Premier Wen Jiabao. T]he bulk of the discussions were a very robust conversation on maritime security and the South China Sea. ? 16 of the 18 leaders addressed maritime security in varying levels of specificity. ? President Obama ? [gave a] principled outline of the position that the United States has ? consistently articulated, namely that while we are not a claimant in the South China Sea dispute, and while we do not take sides, we have a powerful stake in maritime security in general, and in the resolution of the South China Sea issue specifically -- as a resident Pacific power, as a maritime nation, as a trading nation, and as a guarantor of security in the Asia Pacific region. ?

?After the President made his statement, Premier Wen Jiabao asked for the floor. I would say that even though he started off maybe a little bit grouchy, by and large it was very measured and interesting -- I would say a positive intervention. Positive in the sense that he was not on a tirade, and he did not use many of the more assertive formulas that we frequently hear from the Chinese, particularly in public ?

?I think that, from the U.S. point of view, we certainly hit the mark, not by -- no confrontation; this was not ?Showdown at the O.K. Corral.? This was a clear manifestation of an overwhelming consensus among ASEAN and the other participants in the East Asia Summit about the principles that President Obama has articulated throughout. This was spontaneous combustion, and not artifice. These leaders were speaking openly and on their own behalf. I think it was constructive, and one has to believe that the Chinese premier will go back to Beijing with the sense that the center of gravity in the Asia Pacific area is around the adherence to the principle of the rule of law, peaceful resolution, and a constructive, rules-based approach to the resolution of territorial disputes.?

FLASHBACK ? Cover of The Economist, Jan. 16, 2010, ?Time to get tough: Lessons from Obama?s first year?

POTUS WEEK AHEAD: ?On Tuesday, President Obama will travel to Manchester, New Hampshire to discuss the American Jobs Act at Manchester High School Central.?

MICHELE BACHMANN book out Monday, ?Core of Conviction, My Story? (Sentinel, 215 pages): ?I believe that a conventional, play-it-safe campaign will ensure that American has to endure another four years of Barack Obama and his wrecking-crew policies. That is, if the Republican presidential nominee fails to energize key constituencies, or worse, if the nominee is seen as insincere, we will lose. ? I was forty-four years old when I first ran for office. I am a small woman, but my heart for the animating principles and values of America is great. ?

?And so I will drive a freedom-and-prosperity train from all parts of the nation to Washington. I will call it the Liberty Express. Then we will stop and invite soccer moms to join us ? And then men without jobs or who are worried about their jobs. ? We will stop too for African Americans, who share our vision of faith and family ? And Hispanics as well, hardworking values voters ? And Asian Americans and all the minorities in this ethnically diverse country of ours., all those who look with a hope for the day when a change will come. ? And of course, we will pray.? See the cover; $17.53 on Amazon http://amzn.to/veaw77 ?

NEWT GINGRICH phones Playbook from Boston to discuss his surge in polls: ?What happened over the last two weeks for a significant number of people -- and it's still only in the 20 percent range, or 25 percent range, but for a significant number of people -- they said, ?You know, we want somebody who has big enough solutions, but also somebody who is tough enough, and somebody who is experienced enough to actually do them,? and that's a very different standard that you normally get, to have all three of those requirements.

?And I think they were literally talking to each other. I mean, if you were to walk with me through -- like, I came from Jacksonville to Boston today, so I changed planes in Atlanta for an hour. And if you were to go through the airport with me, you'd be amazed how many people just randomly wave, walk up, ask for a picture, chat, and it's clear that in their minds they're part of a community--just a community of voters who want something to happen. And you can see them talking to each other. So, as I'm leaving, three people who are strangers who just got pictures with each other--you know, they'll take each other's pictures, and then they'll be standing there talking as they wander off. ?

?[I]f I?m right, next year will be a national conversation of a style that we really haven't seen very often in American history, where it won't be just the tactical baloney and the back-and-forth and the clever ads and all that stuff. But you'll really see the country talking to itself in a way that will be quite remarkable, and you'll see an evolution of thinking over time. ? [I]f you were to track the polling numbers in the Occupy Wall Street people, the more disruptive they've gotten, the more they have decayed and the harder the opposition to them is, and so I think you have this kind of conversation underway that's really intriguing.?

NEWT.ORG opens an ?Answering the Attacks? section: ?Now that our campaign to rebuild the America we love is gaining momentum, those who want to see us fail are on the attack, digging through Newt's past to try and stop us. Newt, Callista and our campaign welcome the opportunity to tell the truth about Newt and set the record straight about Newt's positions on the issues as well as his record in public life and as a private citizen. We've set up this page to arm you with answers to the attacks. See an attack that is not answered? Let us know ? This page will grow as we receive more feedback to help you answer the attacks. Menu: Ryan Medicare Plan ? Health Insurance Mandate ? Ethanol ? Fairness Doctrine ? Global Warming/Cap and Trade ? Immigration/DREAM Act ? Agriculture Subsides - TARP - Zero-Based Budgeting in Foreign Aid/Inclusion of Israel - Vote for Department of Education - Dede Scozzafava Endorsement ? Government Shutdown ? Ethics Investigation - Lobbying ?Relationship with Freddie Mac - Personal Life.? http://www.newt.org/answers ?

--Extramarital Affair During Clinton Impeachment: ?The impeachment proceedings against President Clinton were due to the fact that the president committed perjury in front of a sitting federal judge, which is a felony. Opponents often try to delegitimize Newt Gingrich by pointing out that he had admitted to having an extramarital affair during the impeachment of President Bill Clinton. What these accusers are ignoring is that the impeachment proceedings against President Clinton were due to the fact that the president committed perjury in front of a sitting federal judge ? As the Speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives, Newt felt that he had a duty to uphold the rule of law by pursuing impeachment. He stands by that decision today.?

--Asking Wife For Divorce While She Was In The Hospital Dying of Cancer: ?Newt?s daughter recently wrote a column to set the record straight about this smear. This story is a vicious lie. It was first reported by a left wing magazine in the 1980s based on heresay [sic] and has survived in left-wing chat rooms on the Internet until today. It is completely false. Recently, Newt?s daughter, Jackie Gingrich Cushman, wrote a column to set the record straight about this smear. The column reveals that 1) It was her mother that requested the divorce, not Newt, and it was months before the hospital visit in question; 2) Her mother was in the hospital to remove a tumor, but it was benign, and she is still alive today; 3) Newt visited the hospital for the purpose of taking his two children to see their mother, not to discuss a divorce.? http://bit.ly/t6AWMf ?

** A message from Americans to Protect Family Security: 75 million American families turn to life insurance, annuities, long-term care and disability income insurance for peace of mind, long-term savings, and a guarantee of lifetime income when it?s time to retire. Take a closer look: www.securefamily.org. **

BIRTHWEEK: ABC?s Gregory Simmons is 3-0 (hat tip: Jon Karl) ? Clark Dumont

BIRTHDAYS: Nicole Isaac, special assistant to the president for legislative affairs ? Congressional Progressive Caucus E.D. Brad Bauman, Florida native and Miami Dolphins fan, celebrating at Dodge City ? N.R.S.C.?s Hannah Mcleod, Wake Forest alumnus, Kappa Kappa Gamma ? Boston Globe?s Romney bird-dogger Matt Viser ? Michael Reynold is 32 ? Jason Dumont is 27 ? Amber Manko ? WaPo?s Dana Hedgpeth ? Alaska Gov. Sean Parnell (hat tip: Patrick Gavin) ? Larry King is 78 ? Jack Welch is 76 ? Dick Cavett is 75 ? Ted Turner is 73 ? Sen. Tom Harkin is 72 ? Garrick Utley is 72 ? Tommy Thompson is 70 ? Calvin Klein is 69 ? Ahmad Rashad is 62 ? Ann Curry is 55 (h/ts AP) ? Shannon Traczyk Vilmain ? Barb Leach (h/ts Teresa Vilmain).

AP PROFILES THE GOP PRESIDENTIAL CANDIDATES, beginning tomorrow and continuing each Sunday through the end of the year. The opening offering, ?Role of underdog seems to suit Texas governor,? by AP National Writer Pauline Arrillaga, in Las Vegas: ?Perry's success as a politician is due to great timing, even better luck ? or his savvy and skill as a candidate who benefits from a loyal team of strategists and, while not a practiced debater, excels at the type of meet-and-greet retail campaigning that can win voters over. Then there are those, including the Democrat who lost to Perry in the last Texas gubernatorial election, who prefer to go with all of the above. ?It's a mix of luck and the fact that he's a thoroughly professional politician,? says former Houston mayor Bill White. ?This is the life he knows.?

?From 1985, when Perry took office as a 34-year-old state legislator, it has been his life. ?. In the words of Paul Burka, a writer for Texas Monthly magazine, Perry has both been ?sailing with the wind for years? as a conservative in a Republican state and ?has a radar sense of political trends.? ? Where does all of this leave him? ?Where he has always been,? says Perry aide Ray Sullivan. ?Being underestimated has its advantages. ... He is confident and likes a challenge. And, occasionally, he likes a fight.?? http://bit.ly/viuxmQ ?

E.J. DIONNE says Occupy Wall Street needs to evolve: ?It's not the '60s anymore. The protests of that era were rooted in affluence. Too often in those years, the left cut itself off from the concerns of the white working class and disdained its values. That's the history the right wants to revive. In fact, the Occupy demonstrations are precisely about the concerns of Americans who have been sidelined economically. ? Ongoing violent demonstrations will simply not help the cause ? This movement is about something much bigger than ?occupying? a particular space. Occupations proved to be a shrewd tactic. They are not a cause or an end in themselves. Focusing on holding a piece of public land simply makes the movement a hostage to the decisions of local officials, some of whom will inevitably be hostile to its purposes.

?More importantly, the movement should remind itself of its greatest innovation, its slogan: ?We are the 99 percent.? This is an affirmation that it is trying to speak for nearly everybody. Its tactics should live up to this aspiration by building support among the vast number of Americans who will never show up at the encampments. It should also want to help political figures such as [Massachusetts Senate candidate Elizabeth] Warren, who understood far earlier than most the costs of inequality and of the abuses of financial power. The last thing this movement should want to do is create fodder for the ads and emails propagated by Warren's foes. The occupations have done their work. Now it's time to occupy the majority.?

THE V.P.?s WEEKEND: ?On Saturday and Sunday, the Vice President will be in Wilmington, Delaware. There are no public events scheduled.?

DR. JILL BIDEN?S WEEKEND: ?On Sunday ? at 3:00 PM as part of their Joining Forces initiative, Dr. Jill Biden will join First Lady Michelle Obama in visiting Homestead-Miami Speedway as it hosts the Chase for the NASCAR Sprint Cup finale, the Ford 400, and join NASCAR in honoring America?s troops and military families. NASCAR, Mrs. Obama and Dr. Biden will recognize service members and military families from the local community at a special BBQ lunch prior to the race. Mrs. Obama and Dr. Biden will also invite a military family to join them as they serve as Grand Marshals for the championship race to lead the pre-race ceremony and offer the most famous words in racing: ?Gentlemen, start your engines.??

THE SHOWS, from @MattMackowiak:

--NBC?s ?Meet the Press?: Sen. John Kerry (D-MA) and Sen. Jon Kyl (R-AZ); roundtable with Democratic strategist Dee Dee Myers, Republican strategist Mike Murphy, Washington Post columnist Eugene Robinson and former RNC Chairman Ed Gillespie

--ABC?s ?This Week?: Mayor Rahm Emanuel (D-Chicago); Sen. Marco Rubio (R-FL) and Sen. Chris Coons (D-DE); roundtable with ABC News political analyst Matthew Dowd, New York Times columnist Paul Krugman, Wall Street Journal columnist Peggy Noonan and ABC News? George Will

--CBS?s ?Face the Nation?: Sen. Pat Toomey (R-PA); Sen. Joe Manchin (D-WV); 2012 Republican presidential candidate Rep. Ron Paul (R-TX)

--?Fox News Sunday?: Rep. Jeb Hensarling (R-TX) and Rep. Xavier Becerra (D-CA); Moody?s Analytics chief economist Mark Zandi; roundtable with Fox News? Brit Hume, The Hill?s A.B. Stoddard, the Weekly Standard?s Bill Kristol and Fox News? Juan Williams

--CNN?s ?State of the Union?: Sen. Patty Murray (D-WA); author and former Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice (?No Higher Honor?)

--CNN?s ?Fareed Zakaria GPS Live?: (Sun., 10 a.m. ET / 1 p.m. ET): Former Israeli Prime Minister and Israeli Defense Minister Ehud Barak; Author and New York University professor Bruce Bueno de Mesquita (The Dictator?s Handbook: Why Bad Behavior is Almost Always Good Politics?); roundtable with Prospect magazine Chief Executive and Editor Bronwen Maddox, British Member of Parliament David Miliband and Financial Times chief economics commentator Martin Wolf

--Univision?s ?Al Punto? (Sun., 10 a.m. ET): ?Zeta? (weekly magazine) General Director Adela Navarro Bello; former Astronaut and candidate for U.S. Congress Jose Hernandez (D-CA); 2012 Republican presidential candidate Herman Cain; Mexican Presidential candidate (PRI) Enrique Pe?a Nieto; children of deported parents Leslie and Marcos Mu?oz; roundtable with Univision correspondents Jaime Garcia, Luis Megrid and Raul Peimbert (live from the Mexico-U.S. Border, San Ysidro-Tijuana)

--NBC?s ?The Chris Matthews Show?: Roundtable with HD Net?s Dan Rather, The New York Times? Helene Cooper, New York Magazine?s John Heilemann and Bloomberg News? Lizzie O?Leary

--ABC7?s ?Inside Washington?: (Sat., 7 p.m. ET on NewsChannel 8 / Sun., 9 a.m. ET on ABC7): Roundtable with NPR?s Nina Totenberg, Evan Thomas and syndicated columnists Mark Shields and Charles Krauthammer

--SiriusXM's ?Polioptics? with Adam Belmar and Josh King (Sat., noon ET / 6 p.m. ET): Chris Lehane, on dealing with clients in "that deep, dark, unspinnable place" and taking his new WGA card out for a spin as screenwriter of the upcoming film ?Knife Fight,? starring Rob Lowe. And Bill Heyman, the Godfather of Corporate Communicators, on how political press and communications experts can make a seamless switch to the private sector after election day. On SiriusXM's POTUS Ch. 124; also available for download on iTunes and at www.polioptics.com.

MEDIAWATCH ? WashPost Ombudsman Patrick B. Pexton, ?For George Will, politics gets personal?: ?The Post?s prickly, Pulitzer Prize-winning, conservative columnist George F. Will is one-half of a Washington political power couple. His wife, Mari Maseng Will, is a longtime Republican operative who was President Reagan?s final communications director and performed the same role for Bob Dole?s 1996 presidential campaign. ? So it was not surprising that Politico revealed in three stories Nov. 11 that Maseng Will worked for Rep. Michele Bachmann (R-Minn.) early this year, flirted with Mitt Romney?s campaign in June and was hired full time by Texas Gov. Rick Perry early this month. Should Will have disclosed it? ?

?All of Will?s columns in the past year and all the ?This Week? transcripts reveal that Will has been complimentary about almost all of the GOP candidates in the race, and about those who were considering entering, including Bachmann and Perry. In his TV comments, he criticized only three: He savaged Newt Gingrich and Sarah Palin repeatedly and with glee, and he delivered glancing blows to Romney all year. ? Will should have mentioned his wife?s work with Bachmann a bit earlier than he did, even if he wasn?t writing about her, and when Maseng Will was hired by Perry, it would have been very easy to put out a statement to that effect almost immediately. But I don?t see that he changed his tune, in his columns or TV commentary, because of his wife?s work.? http://wapo.st/uqrmov??

** A message from Americans to Protect Family Security: The life insurance industry pays out $1.5 billion in benefits. Every day. Surprised? Don?t be. It?s a big reason why 75 million American families turn to the life insurance industry to protect their financial future. Life insurance. Annuities. Long-term care and disability income insurance. 2 out of 3 families put their trust in them every day. Because they provide peace of mind, long-term savings, and a guarantee of lifetime income when it?s time to retire. See how families in your state benefit at www.securefamily.org. **

Source: http://feeds.politico.com/click.phdo?i=518ea9ad5805b1344893292efd2eee6d

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